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Market Losers Deck 4

Take a look at these positions and consider whether you have enough market losers to offer the cube to your opponent.

The threshold for an initial double is a net of 9 market losers, provided you are doing alright on the rest of your rolls. Net market losers means Blue’s market losers minus White’s anti-market losers, the very bad sequences after which White is a clear favorite and may soon own a cube of his own. For redoubles the bar is higher, around 11 or 12 net, because by handing over the cube with a premature double you forfeit your own access to the cube. A premature double is a gift to your opponent, who would then have the ability to use the cube as a weapon against you.

Read the chips for clear market-losing rolls and anti-market replies; darker shades show stronger effects. Net estimates reflect the two-roll sequence—both Blue and White—not a sum of the chips.

Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
NS-0406: Blue on roll, 149 pips; White 159 pips.
DOUBLE/TAKE
NS-0406: Blue on roll, 149 pips; White 159 pips.
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
5/56/62/24/23/34/45/46/55/26/25/36/36/45/14/3
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
3/34/41/1
Estimated Net Market Losers:
about 12 out of 36 (33%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.063 equity, an ERROR.
Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
NS-0403: Blue on roll, 150 pips; White 178 pips.
DOUBLE/TAKE
NS-0403: Blue on roll, 150 pips; White 178 pips.
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
4/46/64/23/36/45/52/26/25/4
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers:
about 10 out of 36 (28%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.000 equity, below the error threshold.
Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
NS-0086: Blue on roll, 86 pips; White 95 pips.
DOUBLE/TAKE
NS-0086: Blue on roll, 86 pips; White 95 pips.
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
4/45/56/63/36/35/46/46/55/3
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
6/6
Estimated Net Market Losers:
about 9 out of 36 (25%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.042 equity, an ERROR.
Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
NS-0050: Blue on roll, 136 pips; White 146 pips.
DOUBLE/TAKE
NS-0050: Blue on roll, 136 pips; White 146 pips.
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
4/46/66/13/35/45/56/53/14/15/15/36/36/44/3
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers:
about 13 out of 36 (36%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.091 equity, a BLUNDER.
Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
NS-0208: Blue on roll, 139 pips; White 135 pips.
DOUBLE/TAKE
NS-0208: Blue on roll, 139 pips; White 135 pips.
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
2/23/34/45/54/35/36/61/16/36/4
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers:
about 9 out of 36 (25%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.046 equity, an ERROR.
Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
NS-0301: Blue on roll, 102 pips; White 92 pips.
DOUBLE/TAKE
NS-0301: Blue on roll, 102 pips; White 92 pips.
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
2/24/26/24/46/44/15/23/36/35/46/62/13/15/16/16/51/1
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
5/14/45/54/16/45/36/53/24/25/24/35/4
Estimated Net Market Losers:
about 11 out of 36 (31%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.148 equity, a BLUNDER.
Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
NS-0401: Blue on roll, 81 pips; White 90 pips.
DOUBLE/TAKE
NS-0401: Blue on roll, 81 pips; White 90 pips.
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
6/64/45/56/52/25/46/4
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
6/6
Estimated Net Market Losers:
about 8 out of 36 (22%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.050 equity, an ERROR.
Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
NS-0405: Blue on roll, 148 pips; White 147 pips.
DOUBLE/TAKE
NS-0405: Blue on roll, 148 pips; White 147 pips.
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
1/12/24/25/23/32/13/26/25/56/34/45/46/6
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers:
about 13 out of 36 (36%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.075 equity, an ERROR.
Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
NS-0043: Blue on roll, 138 pips; White 151 pips.
DOUBLE/TAKE
NS-0043: Blue on roll, 138 pips; White 151 pips.
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
3/36/62/26/24/46/46/53/24/25/26/35/41/12/1
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers:
about 9 out of 36 (25%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.058 equity, an ERROR.
Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Blue Owns Cube at 2
NS-0222: Blue on roll, 153 pips; White 141 pips.
NO REDOUBLE
NS-0222: Blue on roll, 153 pips; White 141 pips.
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
3/34/45/56/61/13/15/12/26/26/35/46/54/24/35/34/16/4
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
1/12/23/34/35/5
Estimated Net Market Losers:
about 7 out of 36 (19%)
Redoubling now would cost Blue 0.258 equity, a BLUNDER.
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