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Market Losers Deck 1
Take a look at these positions and consider whether you have enough market losers to offer the cube to your opponent.
The threshold for an initial double is a net of 9 market losers, provided you are doing alright on the rest of your rolls. Net market losers means Blue’s market losers minus White’s anti-market losers, the very bad sequences after which White is a clear favorite and may soon own a cube of his own. For redoubles the bar is higher, around 11 or 12 net, because by handing over the cube with a premature double you forfeit your own access to the cube. A premature double is a gift to your opponent, who would then have the ability to use the cube as a weapon against you.
Read the chips for clear market-losing rolls and anti-market replies; darker shades show stronger effects. Net estimates reflect the two-roll sequence—both Blue and White—not a sum of the chips.
Begin
Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
Double
No Double
DOUBLE/TAKE
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
3/3 4/4 5/5 6/6 1/1 2/1 3/1 4/1 2/2 6/2 4/3 5/1 6/1 3/2 5/3 6/3 6/4 6/5
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
2/2 5/5 5/2 5/3
Estimated Net Market Losers: about 12 out of 36 (33%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.033 equity, an ERROR.
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Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
Double
No Double
NO DOUBLE/TAKE
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
6/1 5/5 1/1 2/1 4/1 5/1 4/4 3/1 2/2 3/3 5/4
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
4/4 1/1 2/1 4/1 6/1 5/1
Estimated Net Market Losers: about 10 out of 36 (28%)
Doubling now would cost Blue 0.006 equity, below the error threshold.
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Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
Double
No Double
DOUBLE/TAKE
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
6/3 3/1 3/2 3/3 4/3 5/3
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
6/6
Estimated Net Market Losers: about 11 out of 36 (31%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.027 equity, an ERROR.
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Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
Double
No Double
DOUBLE/TAKE
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
5/5 6/6 2/2 4/4 6/1 4/2 3/3 6/3 1/1 3/1
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers: about 8 out of 36 (22%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.022 equity, an ERROR.
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Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
Double
No Double
DOUBLE/TAKE
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
1/1 2/1 4/1 2/2 6/2 6/4 6/6 3/1 6/1 3/3 6/3 5/5 6/5
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers: about 12 out of 36 (33%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.023 equity, an ERROR.
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Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
Double
No Double
DOUBLE/TAKE
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
5/2 2/1 2/2 3/2 4/3 4/4 4/2 6/2
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
4/4
Estimated Net Market Losers: about 13 out of 36 (36%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.022 equity, an ERROR.
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Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
Double
No Double
DOUBLE/TAKE
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
2/2 3/3 1/1 4/2 4/4 5/5 6/6 3/2 4/3 6/4 6/5
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers: about 10 out of 36 (28%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.020 equity, an ERROR.
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Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
Double
No Double
DOUBLE/TAKE
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
3/3 5/5 1/1 2/1 3/1 4/1 2/2 3/2 4/3 4/4 6/6 4/2
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers: about 13 out of 36 (36%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.038 equity, an ERROR.
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Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
Double
No Double
DOUBLE/TAKE
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
2/2 3/3 4/4 6/6 1/1 3/2 4/3 5/5 4/2 5/2 6/2 6/4
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers: about 12 out of 36 (33%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.028 equity, an ERROR.
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Blue on Roll - Market Losers?
Unlimited Game - Centered Cube
Double
No Double
DOUBLE/TAKE
Blue’s Clear Market-Losing Rolls
5/5 6/6 3/3 5/1 6/1 1/1 2/2 5/2 6/2 4/3 4/4 6/5 2/1 5/3 6/3 5/4 6/4
White’s Clear Anti-Market-Losing Replies
White has useful replies, but none qualifies for a red chip. The net estimate reflects the full two-roll distribution, not the number of green chips.
Estimated Net Market Losers: about 12 out of 36 (33%)
Not doubling would cost Blue 0.025 equity, an ERROR.
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